Appendices

Appendix I.

Duncan, S.I. Ph.d., E. Roberstson, Ph.d., R.J. Fletcher, Ph.d., J.D. Austin, Ph.d. 2017. Final Report: Genetic status and landscape genetic analysis of the Panama City crayfish (Procambarus econfinae). Report to U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. Department of Wildlife Ecology and Conservation. University of Florida.

Appendix II.

Calculations of future conditions and population factors.

Calculation of future inbreeding coefficient
Population
FIS
Category
Annual drift value
2030 Predicted FIS
2030 Predicted IC
2050 Predicted FIS
2050 Predicted IC
2070 Predicted FIS
2070 Predicted IC
Shriners 0.359 Moderate 0.0039 0.3038 Moderate 0.225 Moderate 0.1462 Low
Airport-north 0.214 Moderate 0.005 0.1443 Low 0.0446 Low 0.01 Low
Airport-south 0.344 Moderate 0.0036 0.2931 Moderate 0.2204 Moderate 0.1478 Low
Talkington 0.31 Moderate 0.0076 0.2033 Moderate 0.0508 Low 0.01 Low
Industrial 0.395 Moderate 0.005 0.3244 Moderate 0.2234 Moderate 0.1225 Low
St Joe Mitigation 0.348 Moderate 0.005 0.2774 Moderate 0.1764 Low 0.0755 Low
Highpoint 0.26 Moderate 0.005 0.1894 Low 0.0884 Low 0.01 Low
Deerpoint 0.448 High 0.005 0.3774 Moderate 0.2764 Moderate 0.1755 Low
231-north 0.396 Moderate 0.005 0.3254 Moderate 0.2244 Moderate 0.1235 Low
Star Avenue 0.493 High 0.005 0.4224 High 0.3214 Moderate 0.2205 Moderate
231-south 0.46 High 0.005 0.3894 Moderate 0.2884 Moderate 0.1875 Low
Least cost paths (meters) for all sites calculated by Duncan et al. 2017
site.i
site.j
LCP_current
LCP_2030
LCP_2050
LCP2070
Geographic distance
231S AS 11763 12077 11865 11635 9541
231N AS 14685 14527 14315 15934 9963
231N DP 2404 2436 2436 2404 2244
231S DP 9164 9114 9184 9164 8246
AS DP 17089 16964 16821 11147 9562
DP HP 5270 4302 4168 3739 2860
231N HP 5316 5025 5130 5111 4445
231S HP 11828 11554 11624 11652 10819
AS HP 19753 19403 19261 20826 12031
DP SJ 4789 4794 4794 4704 4361
231S SJ 6145 6173 6313 6561 5630
AS SJ 7904 8885 8842 6442 5882
231N SJ 8489 8334 8474 8009 4134
SHR SJ 11060 12228 12024 10616 7722
HP SJ 13556 13210 13420 12901 7195
231N 231S 6760 6678 6678 6760 6387
AS SHR 2850 2847 2777 2780 2587
231S SHR 11057 11232 11247 11001 10051
231N SHR 15559 16183 16268 16398 11851
DP SHR 17963 18619 18774 18802 11775
HP SHR 20627 21059 21214 21290 14379
231N STAR 2549 2521 2676 2753 2365
DP STAR 4953 4957 5182 5157 4609
231S STAR 5126 5190 5190 5126 4768
HP STAR 7616 7397 7622 7645 6561
SJ STAR 7623 7141 7246 6670 5065
AS STAR 13241 13335 13087 14349 10849
SHR STAR 14433 14710 14794 14814 12343
AS TALK 1910 1908 1908 1875 1817
SHR TALK 4725 4868 4649 4754 4319
SJ TALK 6283 7302 7258 4892 4404
231S TALK 10143 10494 10281 10084 8872
STAR TALK 11620 11751 11503 12798 9465
231N TALK 13065 12944 12731 14383 8353
DP TALK 15469 15380 15237 9596 7795
HP TALK 18132 17820 17677 19275 10220
Calculation of least cost paths (meters) for all sites based on pairwise modeling by Duncan et al. 2017. Cells in yellow were calculated based on current site conditions.
Population
LCP Current
i
j
Category
2030 LCP
Category
2050 LCP
Category
2070 LCP
Category
Shriners 2850 AS SHR Low 2847 Low 2777 Low 2780 Low
Airport-north Low Low Low Low
Airport-south 2850 AS SHR Low 2847 Low 2777 Low 2780 Low
Talkington 1910 AS TALK Moderate 1908 Moderate 1908 Moderate 1875 Moderate
Industrial Low Low Low Low
St Joe Mitigation 4789 DP SJ Low 4794 Low 4794 Low 4704 Low
Highpoint 5270 DP HP Low 4302 Low 4168 Low 3739 Low
Deerpoint 2404 231N DP Low 2436 Low 2436 Low 2404 Low
231-north 2404 231N DP Low 2436 Low 2436 Low 2404 Low
Star Avenue 2549 231N STAR Low 2521 Low 2676 Low 2753 Low
231-south 5126 231S STAR Low 5190 Low 5190 Low 5126 Low

Appendix III.

Calculations of future conditions and habitat elements.

Change in landcover types under SERAP rangewide in acres.
Landcover
Polygon Current
SERAP 2017
status quo – 2030
status quo – 2050
status quo – 2070
Interm. – 2030
Interm. – 2050
Interm. – 2070
high – 2030
high – 2050
high – 2070
Developed 11689.9 20220.6 22722.4 23920.1 25040 23950.7 25974.6 27332.3 25563.1 27632 28899
Possibly Suitable 203.7 50.4 8.9 7.3 1.8 2.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7
Undeveloped – Other Soils 3190.6 2116.7 1673.7 1436 1305.4 1477.1 1123.5 982.4 1204.3 900.6 765.8
Undeveloped – Primary Soils 9826.5 7355.7 6689.9 6328.4 5922.3 6135.4 5336.4 4662.2 5336 4410.5 3771.5
Undeveloped – Secondary Soils 5812 4349.8 3614.4 3124.4 2687.2 3318 2640.8 2188.9 2936.7 2230.6 1804.4
Unsuitable 4657.8 714.3 530.5 481.9 420.1 462.7 369.2 318.9 387.2 311.7 268.1
Urban Open Land 264.2 86.9 23.7 14.3 11.2 15.1 8.1 7.5 7.7 7.5 7.5
Change in landcover types under SERAP by population for calculation of Water Quality & Quantity and Suitable Habitat
Population – Landcover Type
Polygon Current
SERAP Current
Status Quo – 2030
Status Quo – 2050
Status Quo – 2070
Moderate – 2030
Moderate – 2050
Moderate – 2070
High – 2030
High – 2050
High – 2070
231 North – Developed 8.6 102.6 148.1 176 208.5 201.1 250 288.6 246.4 306.4 323.2
231 North – Undeveloped – Other Soils 14 8.7 4 4 3.2 3.2 1.4 1.1 1.4 1.1 0.3
231 North – Undeveloped – Primary Soils 143.7 119.5 110.7 101.7 89.2 86.9 62.1 34.2 60.3 18.4 5.1
231 North – Undeveloped – Secondary Soils 134 89.5 60.9 43.6 26.2 34.8 14.2 5.7 18.9 3.8 1
231 North – Unsuitable 29.3 8.9 6 4.4 2.5 3.6 2 2.7
231 South – Developed 449.4 1074.2 1630.4 2075.6 2514 1917.5 2618.8 3219.7 2362.1 3209.2 3796.2
231 South – Possibly Suitable 23.1 3.5 0.1 0.1 0
231 South – Undeveloped – Other Soils 281.9 210.9 167.2 100 81.9 130.2 69.1 58.4 104.7 59.3 42.3
231 South – Undeveloped – Primary Soils 3008 2738.2 2535.7 2406.7 2270.4 2411.2 2132.9 1841.3 2182 1806.5 1489.7
231 South – Undeveloped – Secondary Soils 2301.2 2120.2 1877.8 1659.5 1399.7 1776.3 1449.3 1174.1 1609.3 1213.1 984.2
231 South – Unsuitable 328.7 161.3 137.6 119.9 101.9 128 100.8 81.5 111.9 86.4 65.2
231 South – Urban Open Land 3.5 0.3
City of Lynn Haven – Developed 11.8 21.7 51.1 54 62.4 66.3 78.6 86.8 86 90.4 91.5
City of Lynn Haven – Undeveloped – Other Soils 44.9 35.2 23.5 22 17 16.9 11 7.9 7.9 6 5.8
City of Lynn Haven – Undeveloped – Primary Soils 43.7 41.8 38.8 38.7 37.6 36.9 32.7 28.8 29.6 27.6 26.7
City of Lynn Haven – Undeveloped – Secondary Soils 15.6 12 4.5 3.9 3.3 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
City of Lynn Haven – Unsuitable 9.5 6.7 3.3 3 2.3 1.3 1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.1
City of Lynn Haven – Urban Open Land 0.1
College Point – Developed 89.5 120.6 121.1 121.1 121.1 121.1 121.1 121.1 121.1 121.1 121.1
College Point – Undeveloped – Other Soils 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
College Point – Undeveloped – Primary Soils 3.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
College Point – Undeveloped – Secondary Soils 2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
College Point – Unsuitable 29.9 1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Deer Point Elementary – Developed 56.9 47.9 52.6 53.8 54.4 72 105.9 124.9 121.9 163.4 213.1
Deer Point Elementary – Undeveloped – Other Soils 213.1 201.8 199.1 199 198.5 195.1 187.4 184.4 184.4 177.1 168.8
Deer Point Elementary – Undeveloped – Primary Soils 585.4 578.5 576.9 576.4 576.4 573.6 565 555.8 559.3 542.8 521.3
Deer Point Elementary – Undeveloped – Secondary Soils 258.5 252.2 252.2 251.9 251.9 246.8 241 238.9 239.2 231.7 221.8
Deer Point Elementary – Unsuitable 84.7 76.3 75.9 75.5 75.5 72.4 68.2 66.4 65.7 61.1 56.8
High Point – Developed 48.2 56.1 58 58 59.3 68.8 72.5 80.2 77 87.4 100.3
High Point – Undeveloped – Other Soils 70.1 67.3 66.9 66.9 66.9 65.2 64.5 63.1 63.1 61.1 53.5
High Point – Undeveloped – Primary Soils 76.1 74.5 74.5 74.5 73.9 71.3 70.6 65.8 68.2 61.3 56.8
High Point – Unsuitable 16.7 5.6 5.3 5.3 5.2 3.1 2.9 2.4 2.6 2.2 1.4
High Point – Urban Open Land 2.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7
Old Airport – Developed 0 0 48 116.1 118 61.1 122 128 89.4 129.8 132.5
Old Airport – Undeveloped – Other Soils 8.7 8.7 7.9 7.8 7.7 7.8 6 4 5.3 3.4 1.3
Old Airport – Undeveloped – Primary Soils 9.9 9.9 7.5 7.2 7.2 7.2 5.5 5.1 6.3 5.1 5.1
Old Airport – Undeveloped – Secondary Soils 9.2 9.2 7.7 6 6 7.2 5.8 5.5 5.9 4.7 4.1
Old Airport – Unsuitable 83.5 83.5 59 7.9 6.9 52.5 6.5 3.3 34.8 3 3
Old Airport – Urban Open Land 37 37 18.2 3.3 2.5 12.5 2.5 2.4 6.6 2.4 2.4
Old Airport/Baldwin – Developed 82.4 189.6 194.8 194.8 194.8 194.8 194.8 194.8 194.8 194.8 194.8
Old Airport/Baldwin – Undeveloped – Other Soils 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Old Airport/Baldwin – Undeveloped – Primary Soils 6.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Old Airport/Baldwin – Undeveloped – Secondary Soils 11.9 2.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Old Airport/Baldwin – Unsuitable 58.7 3.6
Old Airport/Baldwin – Urban Open Land 38 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3
SE of mall – Developed 74.8 152.7 164.6 166.3 166.3 166.3 166.3 166.3 166.3 166.3 166.3
SE of mall – Undeveloped – Other Soils 0.1
SE of mall – Undeveloped – Primary Soils 13.2 5.4 1.7
SE of mall – Undeveloped – Secondary Soils 5.5 1.5 0.1
SE of mall – Unsuitable 63.9 2.8
SE of mall – Urban Open Land 8.8
Shriners – Developed 58.5 128.7 128.7 129.6 129.6 129.6 129.6 129.6 129.6 129.6 129.6
Shriners – Possibly Suitable 15.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Shriners – Undeveloped – Other Soils 12.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Shriners – Undeveloped – Primary Soils 21 2.5 2.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6
Shriners – Undeveloped – Secondary Soils 8.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Shriners – Unsuitable 26.7 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
St Joe LH Wetland Mitigation Site – Developed 70.1 65.2 150.2 178.7 193 194.3 241.9 272.6 250.7 291.3 316
St Joe LH Wetland Mitigation Site – Undeveloped – Other Soils 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 3.9 5.1 5.1 3.9 5.1 3.9 3
St Joe LH Wetland Mitigation Site – Undeveloped – Primary Soils 232.1 220.9 209.8 199 189.6 181.4 152.9 125.2 141 108.2 88.5
St Joe LH Wetland Mitigation Site – Undeveloped – Secondary Soils 99.6 88.5 55.1 37.8 35.1 41.7 24 22.2 27 20.6 17.2
St Joe LH Wetland Mitigation Site – Unsuitable 21.7 12.9 6.7 6.4 6 5.6 5 5 5 4.8 4.1
St Joe LH Wetland Mitigation Site – Urban Open Land 0.7
Star – Developed 729.7 1336.7 1855.6 2225 2446.5 2044.7 2544 2829 2326 2813.2 3102
Star – Possibly Suitable 2 2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Star – Undeveloped – Other Soils 336.9 212.6 99.1 74.1 68 76.8 52.9 40.5 56.9 35.9 27.3
Star – Undeveloped – Primary Soils 1754.1 1558.3 1392.8 1268.4 1190.8 1316.6 1117.1 993 1173.7 971.9 848.5
Star – Undeveloped – Secondary Soils 1344.6 1171.2 1032.5 839.8 737.3 961.7 735.9 610.8 860.4 641.6 506.1
Star – Unsuitable 355.7 119.8 90.3 80.3 68.2 81.8 62.6 53.1 72.1 55.7 44
Star – Urban Open Land 9.3 3.5 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.6
Talkington – Developed 69 123.4 144.6 146 152.2 155.8 166.3 171.6 169.9 173.4 174.3
Talkington – Undeveloped – Other Soils 16.1 6.9 3.1 3.1 2.7 2.5 0.6 0.1
Talkington – Undeveloped – Primary Soils 61.3 43.3 37.9 37 32.7 30.1 23 19.5 19.9 17.7 16.8
Talkington – Undeveloped – Secondary Soils 24.8 9.5 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1
Talkington – Unsuitable 26.6 4.1 3.3 3.3 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5
Easement size and notes on management by population for calculation of Herbaceous Ground Cover
Population
Herbaceous Cover Category
Easement acreages & notes on management
Shriners Moderate 0.20 mowed by RR, Great vegetation
Airport north Moderate 0.45 acres, partially mowed, rest required to be managed but not yet occurring.
Airport south Moderate 1.25, mowed, required by permit
Talkington Moderate 10 acres Talkington Preserve managed by FWS and FWC; 6.2 acres under gulf power ROW management
City of Lynn Haven Low 32 ac, 6 approved for mgt if FWC and FWS find money or do work.
Industrial Moderate No easements, but mowed by owner
St Joe Mitigation High 86 in easement, currently managed, not sure how long must be mange
College Point Low 2.99 acres under easement, ditch area mowed, that’s all, some grass
Highpoint Low 11 acres MMM-SSS Preserve, of which, 6 suitable in easement and managed by FWS and FWC
Deerpoint Low 24 managed by FWC, FWS–71 more acres that have potential to be managed
231-north Moderate 0 easements
Star Avenue High ~120 acres of Gulf Power ROW managed (mowed)
231 south High ~220 acres of Gulf Power ROW managed (mowed)